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The 12-day war of June 2025 marks a watershed moment: Israel, Iran and the United States demonstrated unprecedented willingness to engage in direct military confrontation. After Israel’s large-scale strikes inside Iran on 13 June broke the taboo, the two sides appear to be bracing for further conflict. For over 20 years, European actors have sought to avert a conflict with Iran that could further destabilise a war-torn region close to its borders, triggering migration flows, terrorism and threats to energy supplies.

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